Nadia Moore

Quantitative Briefings

Answers derived from simulation, not sentiment.

How much does Early Decision increase Ivy League acceptance probability?

Based on Nadia Moore Academic Advisory's 10,000-trial quantitative simulation model, binding Early Decision (ED) policies provide a 2.1x to 3.4x statistical leverage multiplier over Regular Decision, varying based on major selection and unweighted GPA thresholds.

What is the impact of course rigor drop in 11th grade?

Proprietary simulation modeling indicates that a single-level reduction in junior-year AP/IB course rigor correlates to an estimated 34% decrease in top-15 university acceptance probability for competitive mid-Atlantic and southeastern applicants.

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